Survival Praxis #27 – How Bad Will It Really Get? (Part 2 of 3): Mini or Maxi?

Your view of the unfolding catastrophe will dictate your prepping plans.

If you believe in Douglas Vogt’s scenario, you will move to the low latitudes just north and south of the equator (far enough to avoid equatorial telluric electrocution) and look for high ground to dig a cave out of solid rock. You will do this to avoid the flash and blast from the Sun, the surging oceans, and the subsequent ice field which might be a mile deep farther away from the equator. If you think that a military deep bunker is your ticket, you will be lucky to be discovered by an archaeological dig a thousand years from now.

Ben Davidson agrees that a deep bunker is not the way to go.

It’s too dangerous. But his scenario differs from Vogt’s in that he believes in a crustal displacement which moves the Earth 90 degrees. Davidson is very smart and has invested a lot of mental energy into figuring this thing out. He is more eclectic and connected to different scientists, unlike Vogt, who has based his scenario on an a priori inference from his “Theory of Multi-Dimensional Reality.”

Unlike Vogt’s belief in a reversal of the Earth’s rotation at the next solar nova, Davidson believes that the mantle will heat up from the solar forcing and that the viscosity will allow the crust to slide. We believe, on average, that the crust is 40 miles thick. It is just as jagged down there as it is on top. [And locks the crust to the mantle.]

The oceanic surge, so feared by catastrophists of this persuasion, comes from crustal movement. The direction of the surge will be from the equator to the poles, rather than a clean west-to-east flow. Consequently, a bunker in the highlands of the middle latitudes is the way to go.

But don’t think that a crustal shift will be a slippery-slide joyride at a water park.

The Earth movement will be so violent that every bone in your body will be broken from the shock waves. A padded cell might be a good idea. If you are floating on the water, that would be better. But then you have other things to worry about, like slamming into a mountain side at 500 mph.

Vogt lives in Florida; Davidson lives in Colorado.

Florida certainly sounds appealing, bikinis and all. But you better build a floatable survival pod if you live there. At his age, I don’t expect Vogt plans to be alive in 2046 AD. So, he is living out his years comfortably.

I live in North Idaho for various reasons.

I don’t know if it is a good place to be in either scenario. That is why I favor a floatable survival pod. I’m not worried about volcanoes. Icelanders have lived next to active volcanoes for centuries. I’m hoping to benefit from harnessing geothermal energy in the aftermath. Beds of basalt surround my geological landscape. That suggests to me percolating rivers of lava rather than a catastrophic outburst from the Yellowstone caldera, for example. Also, in either scenario, pressure on the Cascadia will be reduced rather than increased. So I expect that the “ring of fire” will be the least of my worries. But, of course, I could be wrong.

James McCanney does not believe in plate tectonics.

He says it defies the laws of physics. I’ve been trying to understand his arguments for 20 years. I am not a physicist but he is and I will take his word for it. But it might have something to do with the gyroscopic effect of the Earth’s rotation. Tectonic movement cannot come from inside the Earth. Something from outside of Earth’s gravitational field must intrude with a conflicting force to create crustal movement at a continental scale: such as a planetary-sized comet.

Would solar forcing be a sufficient causation? I don’t know. Davidson has been chronicling the second and millisecond changes in the Earth’s rotational speed from the effects of tiny solar storms. A big enough solar outburst might cause the Earth to stop spinning and then reverse (Vogt); that seems to be one possibility. Davidson’s theory of Earth’s skeletal structure might offer a physical “handle” to create the torque to move the crust. More on this in the next installment.

If you don’t have a deep bunker, you will need shielding to protect you from the cosmic radiation. But remember? We don’t want a deep bunker.

The kind of cosmic radiation I am talking about here is not the normal solar radiation of mainly electrons and protons from the thermonuclear burn of hydrogen. This cosmic radiation from a nova explosion will contain heavy isotopes, the neutrons from the nuclear burn of other heavier elements of the periodic chart. This cosmic radiation can penetrate a mile into the Earth’s crust. I have not heard much talk about the heavy isotopes. However, geopolymers offer light-weight shielding if you get the right formula. More on all of this when we review Donald Patten’s material in the next installment.

While Davidson’s happy talk about a “micro-nova” might convince you that it is survivable (he thinks that only 50% to 90% of the world’s population will perish!), don’t think that your personal odds are very good.

As I have discussed elsewhere, I expect that really only 1% of the people who prep for this will survive. Maybe 900,000 worldwide. That is statistically significant for the species, but not for you personally. Statistically, that means your chances are one in ten thousand or 0.0001, in spite of all of your preparations. The survivors still must overcome the deadly aftermath which will last for centuries. Do you know how to make your own penicillin or set a bone fracture? Do you know how to settle disputes in a peaceful manner? Do you know how to divide human labor into classes of specialties which will anticipate all potential, civilization-ending disasters which will surely follow?

Both Vogt and Davidson have been criticized for their aftermath suggestions for social organization.

People cannot envision a world different than the one they face every morning with a flush toilet, a hot shower, and a cup of coffee. If you suggest economizing childbearing women or creating an encampment with like-minded people, well you know, the imaginations of the dirty-minded run wild.

Westerners are the most technologically advanced societies in the world, yet the most regressive when it comes to social skills.

They do not know how to form a tribe, and if they did, they would be labeled a “cult” by the politically connected and persecuted. If you live in the United States or Europe, your initial chances of survival might be pretty good, comparably speaking. But you will not be able to function in the aftermath.


— JWS, 11/20/22


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