Not Enough Time
How much warning do we need to prepare for the next solar disaster? More time than we have got. You might think that 23 years is plenty of time. But I don’t think our civilization will make it to 2046.
The last true solar nova occurred prior to the existence of life on Earth. I disagree with Davidson, Vogt and others who believe that we are the descendants of nova survivors. The solar outbursts which occurred at Noah’s Flood and even at the Creation story of Genesis One, were lesser nova events. A true nova involves an outburst from the full spherical 360 degree surface area of the Sun. Lesser outbursts are like massive solar flares, usually along the ecliptic, which may involve several degrees of the Sun’s surface, perhaps larger depending upon the size of the celestial intruder.
These novae are localized and directional. Novas from solar accretion or encounters with a galactic current sheet (nebular cloud), as in what is occurring right now, appear to be the source of a true nova. Life on Earth does not survive such events. Vogt believes that such novas occur every 12,000 years, but then cites from mythology descriptions of nova-type effects thought to have occurred during the time of recorded history, which most scholars say began in Sumer – a civilization not more than six thousand years ago.
I do believe that the next true nova will impact Earth less than the last one because of its distance from the Sun. We are farther away, but there is still no guarantee that it is survivable.
As a Christian of a postmillennialist persuasion, I believe that it is God’s will that the human species survives the next nova disaster as a continuation and expansion of the galactic Kingdom of Jesus Christ. I think that colonizing space is our destiny. But this belief is an act of faith. I have no empirical proof that this is so.
No Way Out
For those of you who believe in Extra-Terrestrials (ETs) and that they have come to help us prepare or evacuate (ala the film Knowing) , if they exist, I believe they left our solar system long ago. Their technology – even though more advanced than ours – still would be crippled from a solar nova. To avoid their own destruction, they would have needed to leave perhaps by the 1970s, or certainly by the 1990s. According to McCanney’s science, an advanced species would require the use of electrical currents in space as “rivers to the stars” for both navigation and propulsion for space travel. They could ride also in the tail “wind” of a large comet.
With either method of celestial transport – solar wind or cometary tailwind – no spacecraft could make it out in time. Even Comet B-B, if of planetary size, will not have cleared the Kuiper Belt by 2046. The galactic current sheet is engulfing the heliosphere. It is damming up these electromagnetic streams, these rivers to the stars. The ETs which have stayed behind have done so at great risk themselves. There is no way out.
[I do not believe that Voyagers I & II have left the heliosphere and they will not unless captured by the gravity of a speeding comet in a trajectory which is leaving the Sun’s control. Just my opinion.]
The Bottom Line: You need to be preparing now.
The construction of a shelter or a life-pod can be done in a relatively short period of time, perhaps mere weeks. However, the technology and materials must be acquired now and be ready at hand for when the “nova warning” is issued.
In Survival Praxis #24 (The Pinhole Experiment), I described a low-tech method of solar observation to determine when a nova is imminent. The warning would be valued in terms of days or a few weeks. Same goes for an observation of an illumination of Saturn into a nova-like outburst (Survival Praxis #30). But, this is probably not enough time for the construction of your survival pod. It is just enough time for you to gather your supplies and find your way to shelter. The shelter needs to be already there.
You cannot build it now because Earth is experiencing social and economic collapse. A different set of challenges are facing you from thieves to gangsters to rogue armies. And the prospects of a technology destroying Carrington Event is also now more probable (Survival Praxis #2: The Kill Shot).
Whatever you build now will be stolen or destroyed by war. If you do build it, just assume that it is a learning experience to develop your skill-set. You will probably have to do it again, but next time without the aid of our modern technology.
A Better Warning System
Measuring the strength and movement of the Earth’s magnetic field is the better method. The prospects of a magnetic polar reversal is perhaps the clearest indicator we have. In future issues of Survival Praxis I will be examining this topic in depth, including a discussion of ley lines and local magnetic moraines. But for now, you need to learn how to measure the change in the Earth’s magnetic field.
At this juncture, we are dependent upon seismographic stations around the world and satellites in geo-synchronous orbits which are equipped with gaussmeters to measure magnetic field strength. But as Davidson has complained, reports on these readings have been belated, sometimes delayed as much as a decade (The Next End of the World). According to McCanney, the CIA took control of NASA in the 1990s (Planet X Addendum). All science data, from whatever source derived – even from the universities – are now considered a matter of national security and must be processed and screened before being released to the public. What this should tell you is that . . . they will not tell you when a nova is imminent. They will lie to you.
What you need is a low-tech device to measure the magnetic field yourself and a way to graph its change. That device is a field compass.
The Stop-Watch Method
You do not need to measure the directional change. Half of the world lives either due East or due West of the ongoing magnetic polar shift. They will never see a directional change on their compass readings. For me in North Idaho at 116 degrees west longitude – north will always be north, until the day of the pole shift.
However, your compass can be used to measure the “strength” of the field. You will need a stopwatch.
If you take your compass and point it north, then turn it 90 degrees, you now are ready for your test. Turn your compass back to the north position. You will notice that there is a time lapse before the compass needle finds true north again. That time lapse is what you want to measure with your stopwatch. The faster the needle moves is an indication of a strengthening magnetic field. The slower the needle moves – the more time it takes – that is an indication of a weakening magnetic field.
Say for example, if today it takes 2.89 seconds for the needle to return to the north position, record that value. You must allow for human error. So perhaps take several readings until you get a consistent value.
(Because the time lapse is so short, you will want to count the time from when you start to turn the compass back to the north position until the needle stops. The needle will follow the rotation as you turn the compass and bounce past the north reading. Count it all.)
Tomorrow, do the same, and record it. And do the same either daily or weekly. Keep a data log.
At this juncture, you will not see any changes in the readings. This process is slow. But over the course of years, you may begin to see a significant change.
It does not matter if your readings match with any national or scientific standard. This method will be peculiar to you.
Then, you will want to measure the “rate” of change. If your reading has changed from 2.89 seconds to 2.90 seconds, how many days or months did it take to get to that value? If it took six months, but in the next three weeks, it increases from 2.90 seconds to 3.00 seconds, the rate is an indication that the magnetic field is decreasing precipitously.
You will have to measure again at a later time, because the magnetic field fluctuates and obscures the perception of a trend. That is why daily readings are useful. It will record the fluctuations and you will be able to tell when a true trend has been indicated.
The value of this method of measurement is that it can be done anywhere, as long as you have a compass and a stop watch. (Remember, they cannot be digital. You need a field compass and an old-fashioned, gear-driven, wind-up stop watch). You can take these readings anywhere, whether you are hiding out in the mountains away from civilization or out at sea.
You will also want to use the same compass, or perhaps two compasses, to compare. All compasses differ in their attractive strength.
The downside is human error in the time it takes to turn the compass and start/stop the stop watch. You may think you need three hands! You may overcompensate from an unsteady turn. If you are trying to get readings in the milliseconds, it’s pretty tough. You will need practice. This method will work well enough in the field to identify large changes, but not minute precision readings.
You can help yourself by constructing two stoppers to guide your hand, one at the north polar position and the other at the 90 degree position.
In the alternative, I have created what I believe is a better method which I call “the Ruler Method.” It uses a pull test. I will describe it in the next issue.
James Wesley Stivers, 1/15/23
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